UK commercial property update and outlook
The UK commercial property market finished the year in dramatic fashion, with annual total return sliding precariously to -10.1% in December after peaking at over +20% in the summer only a few months earlier. The current repricing may have pipped the global financial crisis in terms of speed, but the duration is expected to be much shorter and overall size notably smaller. With market pricing already at or near the bottom there is less impetus for those looking to disinvest and self perpetuate the downswing any further. This points to a more optimistic outlook for 2023 despite the recession.