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In Brief - May 2023

UK commercial property update and outlook

May 2023

All Property quarterly total return continued to trend upwards in April to 1%. After rising substantially over the back-end of 2022 commercial property yields have effectively plateaued since February. However, recent core inflation data surprised on the upside and expectations have turned sharply more hawkish for a substantially higher peak in interest rates. Live investment deals so far appear to be relatively unaffected, but it seems unavoidable now that the previous yield “peak” will now likely be an inflection point before some further outward softening in H2 2023.

Read more for the most recent occupier and investment updates, economics data and property forecasts.

MAY HIGHLIGHTS

All Property quarterly total return, Apr 2023

2023 CPI inflation forecast

2023 GDP growth forecast

2023 unemployment forecast

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